Showing posts with label News. Show all posts
Showing posts with label News. Show all posts

Friday, 8 August 2025

Aminex Awakens: Fueling Tanzania’s Natural Gas Boom

 

Aminex PLC: At the Heart of Tanzania’s Gas Revolution

With booming domestic demand and a $4.5B LNG project citing Ntorya as a primary supply source, Aminex is poised for a transformational leap.

Aminex PLC is emerging as a quiet powerhouse in East Africa’s natural gas revolution, and recent developments suggest that the company may be significantly undervalued and underappreciated. With two major announcements shaking up the energy landscape in Tanzania, Aminex finds itself in a uniquely strategic position — one that could dramatically reshape its future and market perception.

Gas-Powered Public Transport: A Signal of Growing Demand

In a bold push toward sustainable urban mobility, Tanzania has welcomed the arrival of 99 new natural gas–powered buses — the first phase of a planned fleet of 755. These buses will serve Dar es Salaam’s expanding BRT network, with an additional 250 buses already confirmed for delivery.

This isn’t just about transport — it’s a strong signal from the Tanzanian government that natural gas is set to play a central role in the country’s energy strategy. This is the kind of demand surge that companies like Aminex, with proven gas reserves and infrastructure development underway, are perfectly positioned to meet. As public and private sectors transition toward cleaner energy, the local market for gas is heating up — and Aminex is right in the middle of it.

The Mtwara LNG Project: A Game-Changer

While the bus news is significant, the real game-changer is the newly announced Mtwara LNG project — a $4.5 billion mega-development with truly global ambitions. This isn’t a pipe dream. It’s a state-supported initiative involving key players such as Tanzania’s national petroleum corporation. And critically, Ntorya — the onshore gas field where Aminex holds a carried 25% interest — is listed as the primary supply source for this massive LNG and CNG infrastructure rollout.

The Mtwara project aims to start with 3 million tonnes per annum of LNG production (equivalent to around 400 million standard cubic feet of gas per day), scaling to 9 MTPA over time. It will serve both domestic and regional needs, with distribution hubs planned across Tanzania, Kenya, Zambia, the DRC, Mozambique, and beyond — even targeting exports to Asia. It’s a pan-African clean energy corridor with real momentum, and Aminex’s Ntorya field is the backbone.

Strategic Alignment and Market Potential

Put simply, Aminex is no longer just a junior energy company sitting on a gas discovery. It’s now a key player in Tanzania’s rapidly developing energy infrastructure — both for domestic consumption and international export. With its costs covered through carried interest, its resource positioned near the coast, and a state-endorsed demand engine forming around it, Aminex is ideally placed for long-term success.

For investors, this is a rare moment: the stars are aligning, and the market has yet to fully catch on. Aminex’s story is no longer just about proven reserves — it’s about strategic importance, national energy transformation, and regional opportunity.

As Tanzania turns up the heat on gas-led development, Aminex may well be one of the sector’s biggest beneficiaries.

Monday, 28 July 2025

๐Ÿ”ง East Africa’s Energy Catalyst: Ntorya–Madimba Pipeline Breaks Ground

 The long-anticipated pipeline that will unlock Tanzania’s Ntorya gas field is finally moving into construction. This month, July 2025, marks the official start of the Ntorya–Madimba pipeline, a game-changing infrastructure project for East Africa’s energy future.


๐Ÿ› ️ Pipeline Construction Begins – July 2025

The Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation (TPDC) has awarded the Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC) contract to China Petroleum Pipeline and China Petroleum Technology & Development Corporation—two heavyweights in global energy infrastructure.

  • Construction Start: July 2025

  • Commissioning Target: End of July 2026

  • Length: ~35 km

  • Purpose: Connect the Ntorya gas field to the Madimba gas processing plant


๐Ÿ“ What This Pipeline Unlocks

This pipeline is more than just a piece of steel in the ground. It’s the central artery that will:

  • Enable first commercial gas from the Ntorya-2 well

  • Prepare for Ntorya-1 workovers and future production scaling

  • Lay the foundation for Phase 2 field expansion—up to 280 MMscf/d

Once completed, the pipeline will allow gas to flow from the Ruvuma basin into Tanzania’s domestic energy grid, supporting industrialisation, reducing reliance on imports, and opening doors for export via LNG or CNG.


๐Ÿ›ข️ Strategic Value for Aminex and ARA Petroleum

For joint venture partners Aminex PLC and ARA Petroleum Tanzania, this project is the key milestone needed to shift from resource holder to revenue generator. With first gas expected in mid-2026, the clock is ticking on the transition from exploration to monetisation.


๐Ÿงฑ The Bigger Picture

This pipeline doesn’t stand alone—it’s part of a comprehensive infrastructure upgrade that includes:

  • The upcoming Chikumbi‑1 well

  • Workover and tie-in of Ntorya‑1

  • Expansion of the Madimba plant

  • Future development of a second pipeline and six additional wells under Phase 2


๐Ÿ“ฃ Final Takeaway

With construction now officially launching, the Ntorya project has crossed the line from planning to execution. Investors, partners, and stakeholders can now begin counting down to first gas—and with it, the arrival of revenue, reserves growth, and value realisation.

East Africa’s gas future is no longer just potential—it’s under construction.

Friday, 25 July 2025

Aminex AGM Signals Acceleration:

Aminex AGM Signals Acceleration: CH‑1 Before Pipeline, Phase 2 Plans, and Market-Ready Momentum

For me, this year’s Aminex AGM marked a fundamental shift—not just in tone, but in tempo.

For the first time in years, the Board spoke with conviction and clarity. No ambiguity. No hedging. Just a clear message: Ntorya is entering execution mode, and the drill is coming before the pipeline is complete!


๐Ÿ”ฉ “CH‑1 Will Be Drilled Before the Pipeline Is Completed”

No hesitation. No caveats. That is now the base case.

The Board confirmed that all parties—TPDC, ARA, Aminex, and the Tanzanian government—are aligned and urgently pushing to get CH‑1 drilled. PURA’s involvement has been specifically to accelerate rig tendering.

Rig tendering is imminent. While a shared rig with M&P is being discussed, other rigs are in the running—and the Board made it clear that M&P’s timeline would be too late (mid‑2026). In other words: the M&P option may just be negotiation leverage.

Bottom Line:

  • TPDC is “pushing like crazy”

  • CH‑1 is on the clock

  • Phase shift confirmed. Execution starts now.


๐Ÿ“ˆ CH‑1 Targeting 50 MMscf/d Flow Rate

The Board corrected the assumption of 20 MMscf/d per well:

“CH‑1 is expected to flow at ~50 MMscf/d.”

This well targets a thicker section of the reservoir with stacked pays, including Unit 3—making it much higher impact than NT‑2, which flowed 17 MMscf/d under constrained conditions.

A new CPR (Competent Person’s Report) is expected after CH‑1 or Phase 1 drilling, with upgraded reserves, production profiles, and valuation.


๐Ÿ’ง Condensate Could Add +15% to Project Value

The Board confirmed condensate volumes could deliver ~15% additional value—clean margin revenue, possibly hundreds of millions over the field’s life.


๐Ÿ’ธ Gas Pricing Has Built-In Upside

Two key revenue drivers:

  1. Inflation clause built into the GSA

  2. Higher prices for industrial offtake vs. utility rates

With industrial gas demand rising in Tanzania, Aminex could see surprise upside on realised pricing.


๐Ÿ”— ARA Wants Aminex to Stay

Why hasn’t Aminex been bought out or diluted? The Board explained:

  • ARA is happy with 75% and sees value in Aminex’s public listing

  • The listing provides transparency, valuation, and investor reach

  • If ARA wanted Aminex gone, it would’ve happened already


๐Ÿš€ Phase 2 Strategy: 280 MMscf/d or Bust

The operator isn’t stopping at Phase 1:

  • 6 more wells planned

  • Second pipeline to Madimba

  • Expanded processing facility

“140 MMscf/d won’t adequately drain the field. 280 MMscf/d brings reserves into production within the license life.”

This is operator-led strategy, not speculative dreaming. Ntorya is being built as a national energy asset.


๐Ÿฆ Funding Runway + Cash Flow Timing

  • Aminex has used ~50% of its facility, with ~$1.5m available

  • Burn rate: ~$1.5m/year, so fully funded for 12 months

  • First cash flow expected ~September 2026, once the pipeline is commissioned

Payments will be a mix of USD and Tanzanian Shillings.


๐Ÿงพ TPDC to Take 60 MMscf/d Initially

TPDC has committed to 60 MMscf/d of initial offtake, with the rest going to industrial customers. Virtual pipeline, LNG, CNG, mining, manufacturing are all in ARA’s strategy.

Demand is not a concern. Discussions are already underway.


๐Ÿงช NT‑2 Test Still Going Ahead

Despite the focus on CH‑1, the NT‑2 well test is still scheduled before pipeline commissioning. It will confirm deliverability and gas composition (expected 3% CO₂ content—low and manageable).


๐Ÿ“Œ TPDC Back-in Rights Still at 15%

The 15% back-in right has not been exercised yet, and that remains the limit under the PSA. Any change would be procedural and expected.


๐Ÿ” Kiliwani, Nyuni, and Exploration Strategy

  • Kiliwani is on hold, but still has potential. Seismic planned.

  • Nyuni is “too risky” for now. Scale-down and partnership are in progress.


๐Ÿ“ฃ PR Reset and New Valuation Coming

The Board acknowledged past silence and promised a PR reset:

  • Regular updates to resume

  • Journalists engaged

  • New Shard Capital valuation incoming—expected to be more bullish


๐Ÿง  Final Word: It’s Not “If” Anymore

This AGM didn’t just confirm:

  • CH‑1 before pipeline completion

  • 50 MMscf/d flow potential

  • Phase 2 expansion strategy

It changed the tone of the entire project.

We’re not asking if Ntorya will deliver.
We’re asking how fast, how big, and how long we stay invested.


The above report comes thanks to the attendance at the AGM by Prospero 

Aminex Model Update 25th July 2025

 

๐Ÿ“Œ Recent AGM & Operational Update

According to the 2025 AGM feedback and RNS issued on 17 July 2025:

  • Chikumbi‑1 drilling has been moved forward and is now scheduled before pipeline completion, meaning drilling activity may precede first gas pipelines.

  • Pipeline construction is set to begin by end of July 2025, with commissioning expected by July 2026



๐Ÿงพ Does This Change the Revenue-Sharing Model?

Not materially. The PSA and GSA remain confidential, but public disclosures confirm they follow the favourable 2022 gas fiscal addendum:

These terms remain in force regardless of drilling sequence

Consultations with ARA/TPDC indicate the PSA’s exceptional commercial terms heavily benefit JV partners, especially as Aminex is carried through development.


✅ Implications for Value and Share Price

Operational Acceleration:

  • Drilling CH‑1 early could fast-track resource confirmation, potentially moving SP catalysts forward by months.

  • Rig tender launch by mid-August 2025 now likely to precede major pipeline coverage—earlier drilling → earlier data → earlier valuation triggers.

Revenue Model Intact:

  • Offtake structure, cost recovery profile, and contractor split remain exactly as modeled.

  • No change in Aminex’s fiscal share or exposure—only impact is timing of cash flows.

Share Price Impact:

  • Expect possible 20–50% stock moves on positive CH‑1 updates or rig contract awards.

  • Timeline for first gas remains mid‑2026; commercial ramp-up projections still valid.

  • Earlier drilling may shift upward price momentum ahead of pipeline completion.


๐Ÿงช Recalibrated Forecast Table

MilestoneApprox. TimingPotential SP Upside (%)Commentary
CH‑1 Drill Contract AwardMid‑Aug 2025+20–30%Accelerates early-chapter SP drivers
CH‑1 Spud / Rig MobilisationLate 2025+30–50%Confirms resource & de-risks field plan
Pipeline Construction UnderwayJuly–Aug 2025+20–30%Narcot entry into execution phase
Pipeline CommissioningJuly 2026+50–100%Gas generation capability solidified

๐Ÿ“Œ Final Word

  • Yes, shifting CH‑1 earlier is a meaningful operational acceleration—pushing several SP value drivers forward.

  • No, it doesn’t alter Aminex’s revenue-sharing model or fiscal upside.

  • The core valuation remains valid—but the timing of expected SP triggers and cash flows is now more immediate.

Thursday, 17 July 2025

Aminex RNS Ntorya Operations Update - Rig Tender Strategy

 Today 12:00

RNS Number : 5111R
Aminex PLC
17 July 2025
 

17 July 2025

 

Aminex plc

 ("Aminex" or "the Company")

 

Ntorya Operations Update

 

Aminex, the oil and gas exploration and development company focused on Tanzania, is pleased to announce the following operations update on the Ntorya development:

· At the end of last week, the Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation (TPDC) formally notified the operator of the Ntorya development (ARA Petroleum Tanzania Limited (APT)) that construction of the pipeline from the Ntorya gas field to the Madimba gas processing plant (the Pipeline) shall commence in July 2025 and is scheduled to be completed and commissioned by the end of July 2026. The Ntorya-2 well will provide gas once the Pipeline is commissioned.

 

· Earlier this week, APT presented a tender strategy to the Petroleum Upstream Regulatory Authority (PURA) for contracting a rig to drill the Chikumbi-1 well and perform a workover on the Ntorya-1 well, along with all related services. PURA requested this strategy to expedite the tendering process. Once APT receives approval from PURA, it will immediately issue the rig tender and tenders for other necessary services, expecting to do so no later than mid-August 2025.

Charles Santos, Executive Chairman of Aminex commented:

"We are delighted that work on the pipeline will commence this month, marking the start of the construction phase of the Ntorya Gas Development. With a plan to complete the Pipeline by July 2026 and expectation of starting a rig tender process very soon, the project is well on its way to producing first gas next year.

We are grateful to the TPDC, PURA and other agencies, which have backed the Government of Tanzania's strong commitment to our project with their hard work. And we thank APT as the operator for managing the dynamic work streams to reach this milestone.

As the discoverer of the Ntorya Gas Field and founding partner in the development, we have long believed the project will be a gamechanger for Tanzania's energy landscape. Gas from the first phase of development will be staying in Tanzania to help power homes, boost industrial development and the regional economy and replace dirtier fuels such as coal and charcoal. This has long been our vision and now we are very excited to be so much closer to realising that vision."

 

For further information:

 

Aminex PLC

+44 203 355 9909


Charles Santos, Executive Chairman

Knights Media & Public Relations

+44 203 653 0200


Jason Knights, Sabina Zawadzki

 

 

Davy

+353 1 679 6363


Brian Garrahy

 

 

Shard Capital

+44 20 7186 9952


Damon Heath

 

 

Notes to Editors:

The Ntorya Development Licence area lies adjacent to a region containing supergiant world-class LNG projects, extending from offshore Tanzania into Mozambique waters to the south. The JV partners intend to produce Ntorya gas into the growing domestic gas market, helping to alleviate energy poverty and boost the energy transition in Tanzania.

Aminex, with a 25% non-operated interest, is carried throughout the ongoing work programme to a maximum gross capital expenditure of $140 million ($35 million net to Aminex). The carry is expected to see the Company through to the commencement of commercial gas production from the Ntorya field at zero cost to the Company.

 

This information is provided by RNS, the news service of the London Stock Exchange. RNS is approved by the Financial Conduct Authority to act as a Primary Information Provider in the United Kingdom. Terms and conditions relating to the use and distribution of this information may apply. For further information, please contact rns@lseg.com or visit www.rns.com.RNS may use your IP address to confirm compliance with the terms and conditions, to analyse how you engage with the information contained in this communication, and to share such analysis on an anonymised basis with others as part of our commercial services. For further information about how RNS and the London Stock Exchange use the personal data you provide us, please see our Privacy Policy.
 
END

Friday, 11 July 2025

๐Ÿ”” Aminex Highlights This Week and What to Watch

 

  • NTORYA–MADIMBA PIPELINE EPC AWARD
    TPDC officially contracted China Petroleum Pipeline and China Petroleum Technology & Development Corporation to construct the 35 km pipeline connecting Ntorya to Madimba 

  • INVESTOR SENTIMENT BOOST
    The announcement led to a sharp ≈40 % surge in Aminex’s share price, reflecting renewed confidence in Ntorya’s path to “first gas” in 2026 .


๐Ÿ” What We’re Still Waiting For

While the headline EPC award is now public, these details have not yet been released:

  • Specifics on contract value, execution schedule, and staffing or equipment mobilisation.

  • Updates from ARA or the Chinese firms confirming mobilization, crew deployment, or site works.

  • Any fieldwork or drilling milestones such as NT‑2 hook-up, CH‑1 spud, or NT‑1 workover commencement.


๐Ÿงญ What to Watch Next

Here’s what would constitute fresh, high-impact news in the short term:

  • EPC contractor’s mobilisation notice, photos, or staff announcements.

  • Reporting from ARA or TPDC on the start of on-ground activities.

  • Operations updates on the NT‑2 tie-in or CH‑1 drilling progress.


At this stage, the EPC award remains the standout news. When more details—especially on mobilisation or site works—emerge, that would mark the next major catalyst for Aminex and the Ntorya JV.

Thursday, 10 July 2025

TPDC Construction Launch Signals Green Light for Ara / Aminex Ntorya Development

Pipeline Momentum Builds as Dry Season Window Opens

With the EPC contract for the Ntorya–Madimba pipeline formally awarded in early July 2025, attention now shifts to execution—and there are growing signals that construction is set to begin imminently, taking full advantage of Tanzania’s current dry season.

⚙️ Operational Readiness: More Than Just an Announcement

While markets welcomed the EPC award with a sharp share price jump, the underlying operational reality suggests far deeper progress than the announcement alone implies. Aminex and its joint venture partner ARA Petroleum Tanzania (APT) appear to have methodically prepared for this moment over the past several months.

  • Drilling infrastructure is already in-country: Pipework is stored at one of the Ntorya well sites, and the wellhead for the key Chikumbi‑1 (CH‑1) well has been ready for shipment for some time.

  • The field development sequence is optimised and staged: NT‑2 will be the first well connected, using mobile testing equipment (no rig required), followed by drilling CH‑1, and later a rig-based workover of NT‑1 using the same equipment.

  • This sequencing minimises logistical overlap and supports the planned ramp-up of production toward 140 MMscfd over the medium term.

๐Ÿ› ️ EPC Mobilisation: Signals Point to Immediate Start

Although the formal EPC announcement came in July, a series of operational indicators strongly suggest that mobilisation has been underway behind the scenes for some time:

  • The rapid commencement of contractor recruitment for local positions within days of the announcement indicates that staffing plans were prepared well in advance.

  • This is consistent with infrastructure projects where preferred bidders, once informally selected, often begin early-stage logistics, equipment procurement, and site planning before the formal signing—especially when delivery windows are tight.

  • The public commitment to completing the project within 12 months adds weight to this view. Such a timeline would not be credible without supply chain arrangements already in motion and construction strategies finalised.

In short, while the market may only now be digesting the announcement, the project itself appears to be months ahead in planning, and construction is likely to commence during this dry season—between late July and September 2025.

๐ŸŒง️ Why Not Wait?

Delaying construction into Q4 would push key trenching and infrastructure work into Tanzania’s rainy season, increasing costs and operational risk. That would conflict with the EPC contractor’s guarantee of delivery within a 12-month window—making it far more rational to act now, while ground conditions are favorable.

Additionally, well logistics, permits, seismic studies, and land access issues are largely resolved, meaning that the path is clear for field execution.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Implications: A Potential Re-Rating Catalyst

Should Aminex or the EPC contractor formally announce mobilisation in the coming weeks—whether via photos, press updates, or site commissioning—it could act as a major share price catalyst, adding to the already strong momentum from the EPC award.

Historical market behaviour suggests such a trigger could generate a further 10–20% upside in the near term, as it would materially de-risk the timeline to first gas in 2026.


✅ Final Word

With project hardware in-country, well sequences defined, and staffing underway, Aminex and ARA appear strategically positioned to begin construction within the current dry season. For shareholders and market watchers, the next catalyst is clear: physical mobilisation on the ground. And by all indications, that milestone may be just days or weeks away.


Wednesday, 9 July 2025

EPC Award and why it matters


๐Ÿ“ˆ Why this EPC award matters

On 3 July 2025, the Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation (TPDC) officially awarded the Engineering, Procurement & Construction (EPC) contract for the 35 km pipeline from Ntorya to Madimba to China Petroleum Pipeline and China Petroleum Technology & Development Corporation

  • Aminex holds a 25% non-operated interest in the Ntorya project, alongside partner ARA Petroleum Tanzania (APT) 

  • The pipeline is designed with a capacity of 140 MMscfd, aligning with the Ntorya Field Development Plan (FDP) 

  • The award follows major milestones in the past 18 months:

    • 25-year development licence granted

    • Gas Sales Agreement signed in January 2024

    • Updated FDP and 3D seismic campaign affirming ~1.8 tcf proven reserves, with up to 16 tcf GIIP potential


Market reaction & strategic edge

  • Shares surged by ~40% on the news, reflecting investor optimism and the government’s visible commitment

  • Resting on zero net development cost (covered by a carry arrangement through ~$140 m gross capex, $35 m net to Aminex) and with a $3 m working capital facility, Aminex is well-positioned financially 

  • Significantly, the EPC award de-risks the path to first gas, turning scattered milestones into one coherent execution plan.




What happens next? ๐Ÿšง Timeline & next steps

1. Pipeline construction (mid‑2025 to mid‑2026)

  • Engineering, procurement, and construction by Chinese firms commence imminently following the award

  • Expected completion by mid‑2026, in time to match forecasts from the 2024 Annual Report

2. Well commissioning and start-up

  • Once ready, Ntorya‑2 (NT‑2) will be hooked into the pipeline for gas production

  • Next in sequence:

    • Workover of Ntorya‑1 (NT‑1)

    • Drilling of Chikumbi‑1 (CH‑1)

  • Initial gas output projected around mid‑2026, at 40–60 MMscfd, ramping to ~140 MMscfd within a few years

3. Long-term phased development

  • The FDP envisages up to 14 new wells over the next decade, with target production rising to 280 MMscfd

  • Capital will be funded through the existing carry and future Ntorya revenues—no extra shareholder funding expected 

4. Monetisation & gas sales

  • Gas sold under the January 2024 GSA with TPDC ensures offtake security 

  • Ethically and strategically important: The gas supports Tanzania’s domestic power, industrial, and cleaner cooking needs.


Outlook for Aminex & ARA

Aminex PLC

  • Shareholder value looks promising: Cashflow from first gas (mid‑2026), financed capex, low capex outflows, and significantly de-risked development path.

  • The company expects positive cash flow post mid‑2026 and is operating with efficient overheads (US$1.59 m G&A) 

  • Growth beyond the early phase—additional wells could unlock further reserves and revenues.

ARA Petroleum Tanzania (APT)

  • As operator, ARA drives the project execution, well expansions, and stakeholder engagement.

  • Gains credibility from delivering on its FDP, likely to aid future Tanzanian projects.

  • Success here cements its operational credentials in East Africa.

Together (Aminex & ARA)

  • They stand to benefit from increased gas volumes, line utilisation, and phased development upside.

  • Successful delivery builds investor and governmental confidence, opening doors to further JV opportunities.

  • On the flip side, they must vigilantly manage execution—pipeline builds, drilling risks, commodity price volatility, and regional policy shifts.


Key risks to monitor

  • Engineering delays or cost overruns on the pipeline—though Chinese EPC firms are credible contractors.

  • Drilling hiccups: CH‑1, NT‑1 workover could face technical setbacks—impacting ramp-up timelines.

  • Gas pipeline commissioning and tie-in: Complex logistics, regulatory approvals, and local coordination may pose delays.

  • Gas price dynamics: Though under GSA, profit margins hinge on price stability and local consumption growth.

  • Funding beyond carry: While early phases are financed, scaling to 14 wells may need additional capital down the line.


Summary (≈ 100 words)

With the EPC award for the Ntorya–Madimba pipeline secured, Aminex and ARA have unlocked execution for first gas, expected mid‑2026. Financially streamlined, with capex largely carried, Aminex is set to benefit from ramping gas production under a secure offtake agreement. ARA, as operator, leads delivery and sets the stage for future growth. If construction and drilling proceed smoothly, both stand to capture significant value from Tanzania’s growing gas market. Key next steps: track pipeline completion, NT‑2 commissioning, CH‑1 and NT‑1 operations, and progressive drilling through the FDP.


๐Ÿ” What happens next

  • Mid‑2025 to mid‑2026: Pipeline built; NT‑2 tied in; first gas flows begin.

  • H2 2026 onward: CH‑1 drilled, NT‑1 reworked; production ramps to 140 MMscfd, scaling toward 280 MMscfd.

  • 2027+: Phased drilling unlocks full field ambition. Additional wells generate growth and monetisation.

Monday, 1 May 2023

RNS Aminex

 Fri, 28th Apr 2023 18:13

RNS Number : 9593X
Aminex PLC
28 April 2023
 

28 April 2023

 

FINAL RESULTS for year ended 31 December 2022 AND ANNUAL REPORT

 

Aminex PLC ('Aminex' or the 'Company') is pleased to announce its audited financial results for the year ended 31 December 2022.

 

Highlights

 

Outlook:

• The operator of the Ruvuma PSA, ARA Petroleum Tanzania Limited ("APT") continues to progress operations at the Ntorya field, with the following planned for 2023:

 Two-week well testing programme on NT-2, utilising a mobile testing unit, principally to sample the gas and establish an accurate measurement of the gas composition, required for the design of in-field processing facilities and the export pipeline to the Madimba Gas Plant

 Conclusion of negotiations and execution of a Gas Sales Agreement

 Finalisation of terms for the construction of (i) an export pipeline from Ntorya to the Madimba Gas Plant to accommodate gas by October 2023; and (ii) in-field gas gathering and processing facilities

 Entering into a rig contract to (i) drill, test and complete the Chikumbi-1 well ("CH-1") as a gas producer; and (ii) workover and recomplete the NT-1 well as a gas producer

 Following the processing of 3D seismic data, an optimal well location has been determined for the CH-1 well

• APT has also submitted a near final Field Development Plan to the Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation which, upon approval, will lead to the issuance of a Development Licence for the Ntorya field

• Orca Energy, though its subsidiary, Pan African Energy Tanzania, has commenced its 3D seismic acquisition programme over its Songo Songo licence which includes an incursion of 12.5km² over part of the Kiliwani North Development Licence ("KNDL") at no cost to the KNDL parties. The acquisition programme is expected to be completed by Q3 2023.

 

During 2022:

• APT completed the 3D seismic programme over the Ntorya area in October 2022

• An Addendum to the Ruvuma PSA setting out the fiscal terms for gas (as opposed to oil) production from the Ruvuma PSA was signed by all parties on 25 November 2022

• Successfully raised approximately US$4.35 million (approximately £3.30 million) before expenses in April 2022 to fund the Company to the expected receipt of revenue from first gas production at the Ntorya field

• Company now debt-free following the share placement

• Ruvuma PSA Farm-Out Carry of US$35 million covered Aminex for all 2022 Ruvuma costs with US$30.72 million of the Carry remaining as at 31 December 2022

• Further reduction in gross G&A costs (before one-off costs and exceptional items) to US$1.46 million per annum in 2022, a reduction of 19% from 2021 and a significant reduction from 2018 levels when cost control measures commenced

• Loss for the year of US$4.06 million (2021: loss of US$8.56 million)

 

The Annual Report may be viewed on the Company's website www.aminex-plc.com by clicking on the following link:

 

Aminex PLC Annual Report 2022

 

The Company will announce details of the Annual General Meeting in due course.

 

Paper copies of the Annual Report together with the Notice of Annual General Meeting, including the Form of Proxy, will be mailed shortly to those shareholders who have elected to receive paper copies.

 

The Executive Chairman's Statement from the Annual Report follows below:

 

Executive Chairman's Statement

 

Dear Shareholder,

 

We believe 2023 will be a watershed year for our Company, with multiple macro and local developments converging to produce shareholder value.

 

Since my last Executive Chairman's Statement, energy prices have remained significantly higher than their April 2020 historic lows, with a Brent crude oil spot price average of US$100 per barrel for 2022. The higher energy prices, linked to the lack of investment in new oil and gas projects, sanctions against Russian oil and gas exports, and growing demand in the developing world, are projected to continue into the near and mid-term. Higher energy prices and shortages have emphasised the importance of fossil fuels, particularly natural gas, for the coming decades as an essential and cleaner energy source for global economic development. Moreover, the macro-political uncertainty and significant demand for energy in the developing world will, we believe, translate into continued growing demand for gas globally.

 

In Tanzania, we stand by last year's assessment of the country's significantly improved commercial and business climate. Moreover, we see the business climate continuing to improve. Specifically, the Tanzanian authorities appear fully committed to natural gas development and are making considerable efforts to accelerate natural gas production from Ruvuma. Moreover, the Tanzanian authorities, aware of their need to increase energy production to grow the country's economy, have embarked on further industrial development. These efforts include planning and constructing numerous facilities along existing gas delivery infrastructure directly connected to or near our Tanzanian assets which will increase local gas demand substantially in the short to medium term. In addition, discussions have been reported between Tanzanian Government officials and their counterparts in neighbouring countries exploring the possibility of securing a long-term gas supply from Tanzania, which will contribute to future gas demand in the East African region. These positive developments in the Tanzanian gas sector bode well for the commercialisation of our assets soon.

 

Non-Operating Strategy

 

Our move from an operating to a non-operating business has enabled the Company to de-risk while anchoring shareholder value by:

1. Shifting operational risk on our most valuable asset, Ruvuma, to ARA Petroleum Tanzania Limited ("APT"), a highly competent, capable, and well-funded operator.

2. Further de-risking by APT to accelerate gas production, targeting October 2023, shifting the operational narrative of Ruvuma from a dependence on the spudding and outcome of the Chikumbi-1 well ("CH-1") to a more anchored and broader development effort as we move toward early gas production.

3. Reducing our operating expenses and overhead significantly to protect the Company while the project is still not generating cash.

4. Successfully acquiring the necessary funds via our equity placing in April 2022 to ensure our running costs are covered (before one-offs and exceptional items) until receipt of Ruvuma revenues commences.

 

Aminex's non-operating strategy has made it a stronger, more secure company with a low-cost base and an entirely carried position on Ruvuma and is debt free. It provides a solid financial situation until the commencement of cash flow receipts from Ruvuma. Moreover, APT has reduced the time to cash flow receipts with an accelerated gas production plan, which is strongly supported by the Tanzanian Government and aligned with its need for gas in the short and medium term. The success of this strategy is now in sight as it appears Ruvuma's revenue will come significantly sooner than our original projection.

 

Ruvuma PSA

 

The Farm-Out completed with APT in October 2020 carries the Company to material levels of production and revenue without the need to return to shareholders for additional funding for the development of the Ntorya field. This revenue is now projected sooner, given the acceleration of production agreed upon between the operator and the Tanzania Petroleum Development Corporation ("TPDC"). The Company holds a 25% interest in the Ruvuma PSA with a US$35 million carry of its share of costs. The carry, equivalent to US$140 million of gross field expenditure, is expected to see the Company through to potentially significant gas production volumes with commensurate revenues. The Farm-Out is a result of successful exploration and evaluation work by Aminex, which recognised the underlying value and opportunities in the Ruvuma Basin, while effectively pivoting to a non-operating role to ensure full exploitation of resources and de-risking the Company.

 

With the acquisition of 3D seismic data completed in November 2022 and the culmination of seismic data processing in March 2023, we now have an optimal well location for CH-1 grounded in significant 3D seismic data. We anticipate the spudding of CH-1, and a workover of the Ntorya-1 well ("NT-1") later this year. We also expect a completed well-test of the Ntorya-2 well ("NT-2") soon, providing information that will facilitate the construction of a 35-kilometre pipeline to the Madimba gas processing facility by the Government of Tanzania. The full 3D seismic results will be available by mid-2023 and will permit a thorough revision of the gas reserve and resource potential for the field later in the year. Finally, we expect to sign a Gas Sales Agreement and obtain a Development Licence for the Ntorya Area, securing the long-term development of Ruvuma imminently.

 

2023 will be a watershed year for the development of Ruvuma with the completion of the 3D seismic survey, the monetising of this extensive gas resource through production into existing infrastructure and transportation to an established power and industrial market in Tanzania. Since acquiring operatorship, APT has continued demonstrating focused determination, technical prowess, and a total commitment to the project.

 

Kiliwani North and Kiliwani South - Kiliwani North Development Licence ("KNDL")

 

Orca Energy, via its subsidiary PanAfrican Energy Tanzania ("PAET"), is expected to complete its acquisition of 3D seismic over its Songo Songo license area by Q3 2023. The new 3D seismic programme includes an incursion of 12.5 km2 over part of the KNDL that borders the Songo Songo field to the west as part of their full-field survey. The data, at no cost to the KNDL partners, will be valuable in identifying fault trends, improving reservoir definition, and understanding the Kiliwani North and South structures. We expect to receive processed data by the end of 2023 or early 2024, allowing Aminex to re-evaluate further prospectivity of KNDL and opportunities for further development. It will enable a more robust discussion with future partners to operate the asset and secure additional funding through a farm-out. We have continued with impairment of the Kiliwani North and Kiliwani South assets during the year. We will update shareholders with progress in due course.

 

Nyuni Area PSA

 

In April 2022, we commenced a process with the relevant authorities in Tanzania to return the licence, given our belief that although the Nyuni Area acreage offers upside exploration potential to complement the development projects at Ntorya and Kiliwani North, the significant risks of exploration and the lack of a farm-out partner was far too much risk for a company of our size. The Tanzanian authorities requested that we continue efforts to secure a farm-in partner over the next year, to which we have agreed.

 

Cost Cutting

 

We continued to cut costs and reduce corporate overheads, including reducing General and Administrative expenses ("G&A"). The Company saw a small increase of 5% in headline G&A for the year of US$0.14 million compared to 2021, but a decrease in base running costs (which excludes non-cash and one-off items), before recharges, to US$1.46 million for the year, compared with US$1.81 million for 2021, a reduction of 19% (see Finance Review for further details). The cumulative annual reductions in the Company's gross G&A costs (before one-off expenses and exceptional items) to US$1.46 million per annum in 2022 represents a 72% reduction from 2018 levels. Through these cost saving initiatives, the Company has established an appropriate structure of capabilities and competencies that match the current requirements of the business with a more flexible approach that de-risks our business and can help create or attract strategic opportunities.

 

Outlook and Funding

 

On 1 April 2022, we announced the fully subscribed placement for approximately US$4.35 million, providing an essential pillar in our effort to de-risk and anchor value. The funds ensure a solid financial foundation for the Company through to the expected commencement of cash flow receipts from Ruvuma. We are thankful for the participation of all the investors, including our largest shareholder, Eclipse Investments LLC.

 

We expect 2023 to be a decisive year with significant information flow regarding multiple workstreams. The operator's capacity to run numerous critical negotiations and a significantly broader technical engagement, fully supported by the Tanzanian authorities, has significantly shortened the time to gas production, now targeted for October 2023. This development has shifted the narrative of Ruvuma, further de-risking the project from a dependence on the spudding and outcome of CH-1 to a more anchored and broader development effort as we move toward early gas production. Such de-risking continues to honour the upside potential that will come from the drilling of CH-1, the 3D seismic interpretation, and the full development of the field. These developments are potential game-changers for all stakeholders in the Ruvuma development.

 

Finally, I would like to thank our shareholders for their continued support and patience and hope that our operations in 2023 will ultimately reward us all with success on Ntorya.

 

Yours sincerely,

 

Charles Santos

Executive Chairman